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Millennial-scale climate variability over land overprinted by ocean temperature fluctuations (Record no. 992)

MARC details
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Authentication code dc
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Personal name Hébert, R.
Relator term author
9 (RLIN) 3024
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Title Millennial-scale climate variability over land overprinted by ocean temperature fluctuations
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Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2022-11.
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General note /pmc/articles/PMC7614181/
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General note /pubmed/36817575
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Summary, etc. Variations in regional temperature have widespread implications for society, but our understanding of the amplitude and origin of long-term natural variability is insufficient for accurate regional projections. This is especially the case for terrestrial temperature variability, which is currently thought to be weak over long timescales. By performing spectral analysis on climate reconstructions, produced using sedimentary pollen records from the Northern Hemisphere over the last 8,000 years, coupled with instrumental data, we provide a comprehensive estimate of regional temperature variability from annual to millennial timescales. We show that short-term random variations are overprinted by strong ocean-driven climate variability on multi-decadal and longer timescales. This may cause substantial and potentially unpredictable regional climatic shifts in the coming century, in contrast to the relatively muted and homogeneous warming projected by climate models. Due to the marine influence, regions characterized by stable oceanic climate at sub-decadal timescales experience stronger long-term variability, and continental regions with higher sub-decadal variability show weaker long-term variability. This fundamental relationship between the timescales provides a unique insight into the emergence of a marine-driven low-frequency regime governing terrestrial climate variability and sets the basis to project the amplitude of temperature fluctuations on multi-decadal timescales and longer.
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Terms governing use and reproduction
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Terms governing use and reproduction https://www.springernature.com/gp/open-research/policies/accepted-manuscript-termsUsers may view, print, copy, and download text and data-mine the content in such documents, for the purposes of academic research, subject always to the full Conditions of use: https://www.springernature.com/gp/open-research/policies/accepted-manuscript-terms
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Terms governing use and reproduction https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
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Language note en
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Article
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Genre/form data or focus term Text
Source of term local
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Personal name Herzschuh, U.
Relator term author
9 (RLIN) 3025
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Personal name Laepple, T.
Relator term author
9 (RLIN) 3026
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Note Nat Geosci
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Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-01056-4">http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-01056-4</a>
Public note Connect to this object online.

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